Finland · Ykkönen

KuPS Akatemia vs Inter Turku II Prediction

· Vare Areena

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Inter Turku II and +1.5 goals

KuPS Akatemia badgeKuPS Akatemia vs Inter Turku II badgeInter Turku II

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double chance the logical core, since home win probability is only 10%.
  • KuPS Akatemia's attack and form ratings lead, but their defence and Poisson scores trail, so their edge may not convert into a home win.
  • Inter Turku II's head-to-head and goals dominance, plus a 3-0 recent win, supports their side of the double chance despite weaker overall form.
  • Both teams concede heavily and rarely keep clean sheets, making the +1.5 goals component consistent with their defensive records.
  • KuPS Akatemia's last five show three losses and no clean sheets, reinforcing why the model avoids backing them outright.
  • Inter Turku II's away losses and 11-1 defeat show volatility, so the draw half of the double chance meaningfully hedges that risk.
Predicted winner
Inter Turku II
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Inter Turku II and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorKuPS AkatemiaInter Turku II
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack65.0%35.0%
Defence36.0%64.0%
Poisson54.0%46.0%
H2h25.0%75.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total45.0%55.0%

Team form and goal analysis

KuPS Akatemia

Recent form: LLLWDLLLLWLDLDLDDLLDWLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Inter Turku II

Recent form: LLDWLLWWLDDLWLLDDWLLLLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. KuPS Akatemia 0–1 Inter Turku II (07 Aug 2026)
  2. Inter Turku II 4–2 KuPS Akatemia (17 May 2026)
  3. KuPS Akatemia 3–1 Inter Turku II (10 Aug 2025)
  4. Inter Turku II 6–1 KuPS Akatemia (03 Jun 2025)
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