Kırşehir Belediyespor vs Silifke Belediyespor Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Silifke Belediyespor with a "win or draw" double chance, assigning 45% to both the draw and an away win while leaving Kırşehir Belediyespor at just 10%, a split that reflects genuine uncertainty about the outright result rather than a strong away edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Silifke's form score of 57.00 and head-to-head score of 80.00 sit well above Kırşehir's 43.00 and 20.00, yet the two sides are level on defence at 50.00 and the Poisson values are both 0.00, meaning the goal-based model offers no separating signal at all. The attacking comparison actually cuts the other way, with Kırşehir rated higher at 56.00 versus 44.00, which helps explain why the draw carries as much weight as the away win and why the advice is framed as a double chance rather than a straight pick. Kırşehir's small sample of two league matches shows a win and a loss, both away from home, including a 4-0 victory and a 3-1 defeat, while their goals analysis records 5 scored and 3 conceded for a 2.50 average at both ends, with 60% of their goals arriving between the 61st and 75th minute. Silifke's three matches produced a win, a draw and a loss, with all 4 goals scored at home and all 3 conceded split between home and away, giving them a 1.30 scoring average and a 1.00 concession average, and their goal timing is front-loaded with 50% inside the opening 15 minutes. The last-five records add further tension: Kırşehir's most recent outings include a 3-0 win and a 4-0 win away from home before a 1-3 loss, whereas Silifke's run reads 3-0 win, 1-1 draw, 0-2 loss, 1-1 draw and 1-3 loss, so recent form is mixed on both sides rather than decisively favouring the visitors. The head-to-head record is the clearest supporting evidence for the model, since the last four meetings produced two draws (1-1 and 0-0) plus a 3-1 Silifke home win and a 1-4 Silifke away win, giving Silifke an 80.00 h2h score and explaining why the draw is treated as a live outcome. Overall, the probabilities, the level defensive and Poisson metrics, and the draw-heavy recent head-to-head all point to a low-conviction, tight contest in which the double chance on draw or Silifke is a hedge against that ambiguity rather than a confident forecast.

Predicted winner

Silifke Belediyespor

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Silifke Belediyespor

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Silifke Belediyespor 1–1 Kırşehir Belediyespor (11 Jan 2026)
2. Kırşehir Belediyespor 0–0 Silifke Belediyespor (07 Sep 2025)
3. Silifke Belediyespor 3–1 Kırşehir Belediyespor (08 Mar 2025)
4. Kırşehir Belediyespor 1–4 Silifke Belediyespor (26 Oct 2024)