Kroměříž II vs Tatran Všechovice Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Tatran Všechovice with a double-chance draw-or-away advice, reflecting identical 45% draw and away probabilities against only 10% for Kroměříž II, so the recommendation is essentially a hedge against the home side rather than a strong away win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Všechovice dominate form (75 vs 25), attack (73 vs 27), goals (80 vs 20) and total (68 vs 32), yet the Poisson split is far narrower at 53 vs 47, suggesting the underlying goal expectation is much less lopsided than the raw form gap implies. The head-to-head record is the most extreme input, reading 100% in Všechovice's favour, but it rests on only two meetings: a 4-0 away win for Všechovice in March 2026 and a 4-2 home win in August 2025, so it is a small sample that nonetheless points one way. The team analysis reinforces the contrast, with Kroměříž II on a form string of LDLLLWD, one win in seven, and a three-match losing streak, while Všechovice show WWWWWLW, six wins from seven and a five-game winning run. Kroměříž II's goals analysis shows a modest 1.00 goals scored per game but a concerning 2.80 conceded away from home, and their last five produced just one win, one draw and three defeats, including a 4-1 loss at Hluk. Všechovice's goals analysis is far more productive at 3.70 scored per game overall, though their 2.00 away concession rate and a 4-3 defeat at Strání in their last five hint that their away fixtures are not airtight. Their last five also include a 6-1 home win over Šternberk, a 4-0 win over Bzenec and a 2-0 win over SK Krumvir, but a 0-3 home loss to Prostějov, so the recent record is strong yet not flawless. The draw probability of 45% is the key qualifier: Všechovice's away form includes that Strání loss and a 2.00 away goals-against average, which is enough to justify covering the draw rather than backing an outright away win. Overall, the evidence points consistently toward Všechovice avoiding defeat, but the narrow Poisson margin and the meaningful draw probability mean the double chance is a more defensible expression of that view than a straight win.

Predicted winner

Tatran Všechovice

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Tatran Všechovice

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Kroměříž II 0–4 Tatran Všechovice (08 Mar 2026)
2. Tatran Všechovice 4–2 Kroměříž II (02 Aug 2025)