Křimice vs Jiskra Domažlice II Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output gives Křimice a 45% home win probability and a 45% draw probability, leaving Jiskra Domažlice II at just 10%, which is why the advice is a double chance on Křimice or draw rather than a straight home win. That caution is consistent with the comparison metrics, where Křimice lead on form (80.00 vs 20.00), attack (71.00 vs 29.00), defence (67.00 vs 33.00) and goals (78.00 vs 22.00), yet the Poisson split is far narrower at 52.00 vs 48.00, hinting that the underlying goal expectation is less one-sided than the aggregate totals suggest. The head-to-head record reinforces the home side's edge with a 100.00 vs 0.00 split, but the two meetings themselves were split: Křimice won 4-2 at home in October 2025, while Jiskra Domažlice II won 3-0 at home in May 2026, so the sample is too small to treat as decisive. Křimice's team analysis shows a 5-0-2 record across seven matches with no draws, two clean sheets and no failures to score, which supports the view that they are the stronger side but also explains why the draw probability is not negligible in a low-drawing profile. Their last five results are mixed in sequence, with three wins (4-1 away at Petřín Plzeň, 1-0 at home to Hořovicko, 4-2 away at Slavoj Český Krumlov) followed by two home defeats (1-2 to Komárov and 1-2 to Teplice), suggesting recent form is good but not flawless. Jiskra Domažlice II present the opposite profile: a 1-5-0 record, four failures to score in six matches, and a last-five run of four defeats and one 3-0 away win at Milevsko, including 0-3 home losses to Doubravka and Táborsko II. Their goals analysis shows 15 scored and 9 conceded across seven games, with a 2.10 average for and 1.30 against, but the away split is stark — 2.80 goals scored per away game versus 1.30 at home — which complicates any simple reading of their attacking threat. Křimice's goals analysis is more modest at 5 scored and 11 conceded in six games (0.80 for, 1.80 against), and their home scoring average is 0.00, a notable weakness that qualifies the otherwise strong form and comparison numbers. Overall, the evidence points toward Křimice avoiding defeat as the more defensible position, but the narrow Poisson margin, Křimice's scoreless home record and the split head-to-head results mean the draw component of the double chance carries real weight rather than being a formality.

Predicted winner

Křimice

Betting advice

Double chance : Křimice or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Jiskra Domažlice II 0–3 Křimice (07 May 2026)
2. Křimice 4–2 Jiskra Domažlice II (11 Oct 2025)