Korea Republic U23 vs China PR U23 Prediction
· Yanmar Stadium Nagai
Match prediction
- Korea Republic U23's perfect three-win form and ten goals scored support the home-winner advice, though the model's 45% draw probability signals this is far from certain.
- China PR U23's two scoreless draws against UAE and Iran show a resilient defence, qualifying Korea's attacking edge despite their superior goal output.
- Korea's 80% head-to-head and goals comparison advantage aligns with the prediction, but two of five meetings went China's way, so dominance is not absolute.
- Korea's three clean sheets and zero home goals conceded contrast with China's blunt away scoring, reinforcing the home side's defensive reliability.
- Both teams' low-scoring recent matches and China's tendency to draw suggest the 45% draw probability is a genuine risk to the outright winner advice.
- Korea's goals cluster late while China concede early, hinting the match may stay tight before Korea's finishing edge potentially decides it.
- Predicted winner
- Korea Republic U23
- Betting advice
- Winner : Korea Republic U23
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Korea Republic U23 | China PR U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Korea Republic U23
Recent form: WWW.
Average goals scored: 3.30 per match.
China PR U23
Recent form: WDDW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- China PR U23 0–2 Korea Republic U23 (19 Apr 2024)
- China PR U23 0–2 Korea Republic U23 (01 Oct 2023)
- China PR U23 1–0 Korea Republic U23 (19 Jun 2023)
- China PR U23 1–3 Korea Republic U23 (15 Jun 2023)
- Korea Republic U23 1–0 China PR U23 (09 Jan 2020)