Korea DPR W vs Japan W Prediction
· Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa
Match prediction
- Japan's perfect five-win form and five clean sheets justify the model's 45% away win probability, though the identical 45% draw share signals real uncertainty.
- Korea DPR's 10% win probability reflects a defence rated at zero, yet their unbeaten five-match run and 26 goals show they are not easily beaten.
- Both teams average 5.2 goals scored, so the +1.5 goals component of the advice is strongly supported by attacking output on both sides.
- Japan's 100% defensive and Poisson ratings against Korea's 0% explain the wide gap, but the 45% draw probability tempers any outright-win confidence.
- Head-to-head favours Japan 80%, yet the most recent meeting was a goalless draw, supporting the draw-or-Japan double chance rather than a straight win.
- Korea's 1-1 draw with South Korea and narrow wins over China suggest resilience, making the draw leg of the advice more valuable than the win leg alone.
- Predicted winner
- Japan W
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Japan W and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Korea DPR W | Japan W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 37.3% | 62.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Korea DPR W
Recent form: WWDWW.
Average goals scored: 5.20 per match.
Japan W
Recent form: WWWWW.
Average goals scored: 5.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Japan W 2–1 Korea DPR W (28 Feb 2024)
- Korea DPR W 0–0 Japan W (24 Feb 2024)