World · Asian Games Women

Korea DPR W vs China W Prediction

· Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa

Korea DPR W badgeKorea DPR W vs China W badgeChina W

Match prediction

  • Korea DPR's perfect four-match record without defeat and superior attack metrics underpin the model's lean toward them as winner.
  • China's three home wins but only one away point suggest their form is venue-dependent, weakening their case at a neutral Shizuoka ground.
  • Both teams' identical recent form and head-to-head split indicate genuine parity, explaining why the model assigns equal 45% home and draw probabilities.
  • Korea DPR's 6.00 goals-per-game average and China's 3.00 both comfortably clear the +1.5 line, supporting the goals component of the advice.
  • China's defensive record of just three goals conceded in four matches shows they are no pushover, qualifying the confidence in a Korea DPR win.
  • The model's 10% away probability reflects that China have never lost in this sample, yet the draw share signals the winner pick carries real risk.
Predicted winner
Korea DPR W
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Korea DPR W and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorKorea DPR WChina W
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson90.0%10.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total61.2%38.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Korea DPR W

Recent form: WWDW.

Average goals scored: 6.00 per match.

China W

Recent form: WDWW.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Korea DPR W 1–2 China W (09 Mar 2026)
  2. China W 1–2 Korea DPR W (26 Oct 2023)
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