Kongsvinger II vs Harstad Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Harstad a 50% win probability and Kongsvinger II 0%, with the remaining 50% on a draw, so the advice of a draw-or-Harstad double chance combined with over 1.5 goals reflects a clear but not absolute lean toward the visitors. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Harstad leads across form (83 versus 17), attack (81 versus 19), defence (75 versus 25), Poisson (64 versus 36), goals (75 versus 25) and total (77.7 versus 22.5), leaving only the head-to-head split (88 versus 13 in Harstad's favour) as a similarly one-sided but distinct signal. The season records tell a consistent story: Harstad have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 20 matches and have never failed to score, while Kongsvinger II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses and have kept only two clean sheets all season. Kongsvinger II's defensive numbers are the weakest part of their profile, conceding 2.90 goals per game overall and 3.10 away, including a 6-0 loss at Tromsø II and a 1-5 home defeat to Fløya in their last five, which is why the over 1.5 goals element of the advice looks well supported. Harstad's attacking output is heavily home-weighted at 4.80 goals per game versus 1.80 away, so their away scoring rate is closer to Kongsvinger II's overall 1.80 than the headline totals suggest, which tempers how dominant they might be on the road. Their last five do show four wins and one loss, including a 6-1 home win over Ulfstind and a 1-0 away win at Tromsø II, but the single defeat was a 1-0 home loss to Tromsdalen Uil, indicating they are not invulnerable. The head-to-head record is small but leans Harstad's way: a 6-1 Harstad home win in June 2026, a 2-2 draw in 2024 and a 1-0 Kongsvinger II home win in 2024, so the most recent and most emphatic meeting supports the visitors while the older results show Kongsvinger II can compete. Both teams' goals analysis also points to goals: Kongsvinger II have seen over 1.5 goals in 10 of 20 matches and over 2.5 in 6, while Harstad have gone over 1.5 in 14 of 20 and over 2.5 in 10, and Harstad's concession pattern is concentrated late (25.8% in the 76-90 window) and early in the second half. Overall, the evidence coheres around a Harstad result with goals, but the away-scoring split, the 50% draw probability and the small head-to-head sample mean the double chance rather than an outright away win is the more defensible reading of the existing output.

Predicted winner

Harstad

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Harstad and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Harstad 6–1 Kongsvinger II (21 Jun 2026)
2. Harstad 2–2 Kongsvinger II (25 Aug 2024)
3. Kongsvinger II 0–1 Harstad (14 Apr 2024)