Komárno vs Ajka Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Komárno avoids defeat in 90% of modelled outcomes.
• Ajka's 10% win probability aligns with a form line of six losses in eight and no away wins, undermining any away-side case.
• Komárno's defensive record is stronger, conceding 1.20 per game versus Ajka's 1.90, which supports the low-risk draw-inclusive selection.
• Ajka failed to score in six of eight matches and averages 0.80 goals, so Komárno's clean-sheet potential reinforces the advice.
• Komárno's head-to-head edge, unbeaten in three meetings, adds historical weight to the double chance despite Ajka's slightly better form score.
• The Poisson split of 100% to 0% is an extreme modelling artefact, so the advice rests more on form, defence, and head-to-head evidence.

Predicted winner

Komárno

Betting advice

Double chance : Komárno or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Ajka 0–1 Komárno (24 Jan 2026)
2. Ajka 1–2 Komárno (22 Jan 2025)
3. Komárno 1–1 Ajka (06 Sep 2024)