Köln II vs Hilden Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Köln II avoiding defeat, with a 45% home win and 45% draw combining into the "Köln II or draw" double chance against Hilden's 10% away probability. That split is supported by the comparison metrics, where Köln II lead on form (57 vs 43), attack (67 vs 33) and defence (63 vs 38), although the Poisson measure is perfectly level at 50–50, suggesting the underlying goal expectation is far less one-sided than the other categories. The head-to-head, goals and total comparison fields are all populated with zeros, so they offer no separating signal and should be treated as unavailable rather than as evidence of parity. Köln II's nine-match record of three wins, two draws and four losses is marginally better than Hilden's two wins, three draws and four losses, and the form strings WDLWDWLLL versus DDWDLLLWL show both sides arriving with mixed recent results rather than clear momentum. The last-five records sharpen that contrast: Köln II have lost three of five but also produced a 4-0 away win at Bochum II, while Hilden have lost four of five, including a 6-0 defeat at Gutersloh and a 3-0 home loss to Rot-weiss Oberhausen, with their only bright spot a 3-0 away win at Sportfreunde Lotte. Goals analysis adds a further qualification, since Köln II average 1.70 scored and 1.70 conceded while Hilden average only 1.00 scored but 1.90 conceded, meaning Hilden's defensive weakness is the more reliable differentiator than their attack. Hilden's scoring is heavily concentrated early, with 55.56% of their nine goals in the first 15 minutes, whereas Köln II's 15 goals are spread with 40% in the 16–30 minute window, so the timing patterns point to different phases of threat rather than a single dominant side. Both teams' totals sit mostly under 2.5 goals in their matches, which tempers any expectation of a high-scoring game and helps explain why the draw carries the same 45% weight as a Köln II win. Overall, the double-chance advice looks reasonably grounded in Köln II's superior form, attack and defensive metrics plus Hilden's poor recent away results, but the level Poisson split, the empty head-to-head and goals comparison fields, and Köln II's own three defeats in five mean this should be read as a modest lean rather than a confident outcome.

Predicted winner

Köln II

Betting advice

Double chance : Köln II or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.