Kjelsås vs Follo Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Kjelsås with a 45% home win and 45% draw against only 10% for Follo, and its advice combines a Kjelsås-or-draw double chance with over 1.5 goals. That stance is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Kjelsås leads on form (69 vs 31), attack (65 vs 35), defence (58 vs 42), Poisson (77 vs 23), head-to-head (93 vs 7), goals (79 vs 21) and overall total (73.5 vs 26.5). The season records reinforce the gap, since Kjelsås have 14 wins from 20 with a seven-match winning streak, while Follo have just 3 wins and 13 defeats from 20, including a six-game losing run. Kjelsås also score more freely at 2.40 goals per game against Follo's 1.20, and concede less at 1.50 versus 2.20, which supports the expectation of goals while favouring the home side. However, the last-five records introduce a note of caution, as Kjelsås have lost three of five (2-3 at Grorud, 0-2 to Ham-Kam, 1-4 at Skeid) despite a 5-0 win over Stjørdals-Blink, and Follo have also lost three of five but did beat Tromsdalen 1-0. The head-to-head record is more mixed than the 93-7 split suggests, with Kjelsås winning 3-1 and 2-0 at home and drawing 0-0 and 2-2, but Follo winning 4-1 and 3-1 on their own ground, so venue appears to matter. The goals analysis supports the over 1.5 element, since Kjelsås have gone over 1.5 in 14 of 20 matches and Follo in 7 of 20, while Kjelsås' concession pattern is heavily weighted to the 76-90 minute window (10 of 29 goals against). Overall, the evidence points to Kjelsås as the stronger side and makes the double chance plus over 1.5 a reasonable reflection of that, though the recent form dips and the venue-dependent head-to-head results mean the outcome is not assured.

Predicted winner

Kjelsås

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Kjelsås or draw and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Follo 1–4 Kjelsås (12 Jun 2026)
2. Kjelsås 1–0 Follo (07 Mar 2026)
3. Kjelsås 3–1 Follo (13 Sep 2025)
4. Follo 1–3 Kjelsås (26 Jul 2025)
5. Follo 0–0 Kjelsås (07 Sep 2024)