NB III - Northeast · Hungary
Kisvárda II vs Cigand SE Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Cigand SE as the winner, but its 45% away probability is matched by a 45% draw probability and only a 10% home chance, so the advice is best read as a slight preference rather than a firm edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Cigand SE dominates form (65 vs 35), attack (73 vs 27), Poisson (93 vs 7) and overall totals (65.3 vs 34.7), yet the head-to-head split sits level at 50-50. The team analysis explains much of that gap: Cigand SE's record of seven wins and one loss from eight, including a 1-5 away win, contrasts with Kisvárda II's three wins, four draws and one loss, a profile built on avoiding defeat rather than dominating. Kisvárda II's home record is especially passive, with three draws and one loss from four home games and no home clean sheets, while Cigand SE have won all three away matches and kept two away clean sheets. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast, as Cigand SE average 2.60 goals scored and only 0.80 conceded, whereas Kisvárda II average 1.50 scored and 1.30 conceded, and Cigand SE's defensive numbers are particularly strong away (0.30 conceded per game). The last-five records tell a similar story but with different textures: Cigand SE have won all five, scoring at least twice in each, while Kisvárda II have two wins, two draws and one loss, with four of those five matches producing two goals or fewer. The head-to-head record is the main counterweight, since Kisvárda II won the two most recent meetings 2-0 and 2-0, and Cigand SE's wins in this sequence came at home, which qualifies the away-favourite reading. Overall, the weight of form, attack, defence and Poisson evidence supports the Cigand SE advice, but the level head-to-head split and the high draw probability suggest the model's confidence is modest rather than decisive.
- Predicted winner
- Cigand SE
- Betting advice
- Winner : Cigand SE
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Kisvárda II | Cigand SE |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Attack | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Defence | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Poisson | 7.0% | 93.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Total | 34.7% | 65.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Kisvárda II
Recent form: DDWWDDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Cigand SE
Recent form: LWWWWWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Kisvárda II 2–0 Cigand SE (17 May 2026)
- Cigand SE 2–0 Kisvárda II (02 Nov 2025)
- Kisvárda II 2–1 Cigand SE (17 Nov 2024)
- Cigand SE 1–1 Kisvárda II (28 Jul 2024)
- Cigand SE 2–0 Kisvárda II (21 Apr 2024)


