National League · England

Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town Prediction

· Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster Harriers badgeKidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town badgeYeovil Town

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Kidderminster Harriers via a double-chance call, assigning 45% to a home win and 45% to a draw against only 10% for Yeovil Town, so the advice effectively treats the away side as a marginal route to defeat. That stance is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Kidderminster lead on form (61 versus 39), defence (85 versus 15) and Poisson (72 versus 28), while Yeovil counter with the stronger attack score (58 versus 42). The team analysis explains the defensive split: Kidderminster have conceded only seven goals across nine matches, including just two at home with three home clean sheets, whereas Yeovil have shipped fourteen and kept only one clean sheet all season. Kidderminster's record of five wins, three draws and one loss, with no home defeats, contrasts with Yeovil's four wins, three draws and two losses, and the hosts' recent form line of LWDWDWWWD looks steadier than Yeovil's DDWWWLLDW. The last-five records sharpen that contrast, as Kidderminster are unbeaten with three wins and two draws, including a 4-1 away win at Wealdstone and three clean sheets, while Yeovil have alternated between a 4-1 home win over Solihull Moors and heavier defeats such as the 1-4 loss to AFC Fylde. Yeovil's goals analysis nonetheless warns against dismissing them, since they average 2.00 goals per game overall and 2.40 at home, and they have scored in every match, with 42% of their goals arriving after the 76th minute. Kidderminster's attacking output is more modest at 1.40 goals per game, and their goals are spread late as well, with 31% in the 76-90 window, which suggests the draw component of the advice carries real weight rather than being a formality. The head-to-head section is empty, and the goals comparison fields for both sides are zero, so no historical or goals-based edge can be read from those parts of the evidence. Overall, the defensive superiority, home unbeaten record and stronger form support the double-chance selection, but Yeovil's scoring consistency and late threat mean the 10% away probability looks like the least secure part of the model's output.

Predicted winner
Kidderminster Harriers
Betting advice
Double chance : Kidderminster Harriers or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorKidderminster HarriersYeovil Town
Form61.0%39.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence85.0%15.0%
Poisson72.0%28.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total65.0%35.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Kidderminster Harriers

Recent form: LWDWDWWWD.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Yeovil Town

Recent form: DDWWWLLDW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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