Kidderminster Harriers vs Sutton Utd Prediction
· Aggborough Stadium
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Kidderminster's superior defensive score and recent clean sheets support the home-or-draw leg, though Sutton's stronger attack tempers that advantage.
- Sutton's attack rating exceeds Kidderminster's, but their recent losses and failure to score in two of five suggest that threat is inconsistent.
- Both teams' goal records show almost every match staying under 3.5, directly supporting the low-scoring half of the combined advice.
- Head-to-head is perfectly balanced and the last meeting produced a single goal, reinforcing the cautious draw-inclusive and under-goals stance.
- Kidderminster's better recent form and home clean sheets outweigh Sutton's attacking metric, justifying the home-leaning double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Kidderminster Harriers
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Kidderminster Harriers or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Kidderminster Harriers | Sutton Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| Poisson | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 58.5% | 41.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Kidderminster Harriers
Recent form: LWDWDWWWDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Sutton Utd
Recent form: WWWWLLLWDDL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Kidderminster Harriers 0–1 Sutton Utd (01 Feb 2025)
- Kidderminster Harriers 4–1 Sutton Utd (09 Nov 2013)