Ligue 2 · Algeria
Khroub vs USM Annaba Prediction
Khroub vs
USM Annaba
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward USM Annaba as the winner, yet its own probabilities split evenly at 50% draw and 50% away with 0% for a Khroub win, so the advice is better read as a narrow preference than a confident call. That tension is echoed in the comparison metrics, where Annaba dominates form (75 versus 25), attack (100 versus 0), head-to-head (71 versus 29), goals (64 versus 36) and total (70 versus 30), while defence and Poisson both sit at 0.00 for each side and therefore offer no separating signal. The team analysis reinforces the form gap but also exposes how thin the sample is: Khroub have played once, drawing at home with a clean sheet yet failing to score, whereas Annaba have played once and won 3-0 at home, also with a clean sheet. The goals analysis makes the same point numerically, with Khroub averaging 0.00 goals for and against across a single match and Annaba averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, so the attacking contrast rests on one fixture each rather than a sustained pattern. The last-five records complicate the picture, because Khroub's sequence includes two wins, two draws and a loss with only five goals scored and three conceded, while Annaba's shows three defeats alongside a win and a draw, all three losses coming without scoring. Annaba's most recent outing, a 3-0 home win over NC Magra, is the strongest single result in either recent run, but it follows a stretch of 0-2, 0-1 and 0-1 losses that undercuts any assumption of consistent away threat. The head-to-head record is the most substantial evidence available and tilts toward Annaba, with six wins to Khroub's three across ten meetings, including a 3-0 away victory in February 2026 and a 2-1 home win in October 2025, though Khroub's own home wins in 2025 and 2023 show this fixture has not been one-directional. Overall, the 50% draw probability seems to acknowledge that Khroub's single clean-sheet draw and home advantage could hold Annaba's inconsistent away form, so the winner advice is plausible but rests on a small-sample form edge and a head-to-head trend rather than on any defensive or Poisson differentiation.
- Predicted winner
- USM Annaba
- Betting advice
- Winner : USM Annaba
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Khroub | USM Annaba |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Attack | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Total | 30.0% | 70.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Khroub
Recent form: D.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
USM Annaba
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Khroub 0–3 USM Annaba (14 Feb 2026)
- USM Annaba 2–1 Khroub (03 Oct 2025)
- Khroub 2–1 USM Annaba (19 Apr 2025)
- USM Annaba 3–2 Khroub (06 Dec 2024)
- Khroub 0–0 USM Annaba (28 May 2024)
