Køge W vs KoldingQ W Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Køge W with a 45% home win and 45% draw, leaving KoldingQ W at just 10%, and its advice combines a Køge-or-draw double chance with over 2.5 goals. That split between home and draw is notable because the comparison metrics are far less balanced, with Køge ahead on form (67 vs 33), attack (58 vs 42), defence (65 vs 35), Poisson (66 vs 34), goals (86 vs 14) and total (68.4 vs 31.6), while the head-to-head split is a maximum 100 to 0 in Køge's favour. The team analysis supports that edge: Køge have seven wins and one loss from eight with no draws, whereas KoldingQ have three wins and five defeats, and Køge's five clean sheets against KoldingQ's one point to a defensive gap. Køge's goals profile is also stronger, averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded per game versus KoldingQ's 2.10 scored and 3.00 conceded, which helps explain why the over 2.5 component sits alongside the double chance. The last-five records qualify the picture, though: Køge lost 0-1 to Arsenal W and 4-6 to Nordsjælland W at home, while KoldingQ's most recent outing was a 6-2 win at FC Copenhagen W, showing the away side can still produce a high-scoring result. KoldingQ's wider last five also includes a 0-5 home loss to Brøndby W and a 0-4 defeat at Nordsjælland W, so their 6-2 win looks more like a spike than a sustained trend. The head-to-head record is the most one-sided evidence, with Køge winning the last meeting 3-1 and also recording 6-1 and 5-0 home wins, although KoldingQ have won 2-0 and 2-1 in this fixture, so the 100-0 split may overstate certainty. The goals analysis adds a further qualification to the over 2.5 advice, since Køge's goals-for under/over shows five overs and three unders at 2.5, and KoldingQ's shows three overs and five unders, meaning the high-scoring case is plausible but not uniform. Overall, the evidence broadly supports the existing Køge-or-draw and over 2.5 combination, but the 45% draw probability and KoldingQ's occasional scoring bursts mean the model's confidence should be treated as tentative rather than assured.

Predicted winner

Køge W

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Køge W or draw and +2.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+2.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Køge W 3–1 KoldingQ W (13 Jun 2026)
2. KoldingQ W 0–2 Køge W (24 Apr 2026)
3. Køge W 6–1 KoldingQ W (01 Nov 2025)
4. KoldingQ W 1–2 Køge W (05 Sep 2025)
5. Køge W 5–0 KoldingQ W (20 Oct 2024)