Norway · 3. Division - Girone 1
KFUM II vs Ullern Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's near-even split, with home and draw each at 35%, makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a genuinely balanced fixture.
- Ullern's superior recent form and attack ratings conflict with KFUM II's strong head-to-head record, which explains why the model still leans toward the home side.
- Both teams concede heavily, with KFUM II averaging 2.8 goals against and Ullern 2.7, supporting the +1.5 goals component of the advice.
- KFUM II's home matches average 2.4 goals scored but also 2.6 conceded, indicating their games are open rather than controlled.
- Ullern's last five produced 21 combined goals, reinforcing the expectation that this fixture clears the modest 1.5-goal threshold comfortably.
- The head-to-head sample is small and spans multiple seasons, so KFUM II's 71% edge should be treated as a lean rather than a decisive factor.
- Predicted winner
- KFUM II
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : KFUM II or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | KFUM II | Ullern |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
KFUM II
Recent form: LLLLWLWWDLWDLWLWLLLWD.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Ullern
Recent form: LWLLDLLLWWLLLDLWWLLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Ullern 2–3 KFUM II (20 Jun 2026)
- Ullern 1–3 KFUM II (11 Aug 2025)
- KFUM II 3–1 Ullern (14 Jun 2025)
- KFUM II 0–1 Ullern (19 Aug 2024)
- Ullern 2–2 KFUM II (22 Apr 2024)