Germany · Oberliga - Niederrhein
KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SSVg Velbert Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the absence of a clear favorite weakens any single-outcome confidence.
- Uerdingen's superior defensive and head-to-head metrics contrast with Velbert's stronger attack, explaining why the model favors the home side without a decisive edge.
- Velbert's perfect record of scoring in every league match supports the +1.5 goals component, since both teams carry genuine attacking threat.
- Uerdingen's recent home form includes a 6-1 win and a 2-1 victory, yet also a 0-1 loss, tempering the reliability of their home advantage.
- Velbert's away form of three wins from four, including a 3-0 and 4-1, shows they can score freely on the road, qualifying the home-favoring prediction.
- The head-to-head sample is small and includes a friendly, so the 88-13 home split should be treated as indicative rather than conclusive.
- Predicted winner
- KFC Uerdingen 05
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : KFC Uerdingen 05 or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | KFC Uerdingen 05 | SSVg Velbert |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Attack | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Defence | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| Poisson | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| H2h | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Goals | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Total | 66.2% | 34.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
KFC Uerdingen 05
Recent form: WLWWDLW.
Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.
SSVg Velbert
Recent form: WWLLWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- KFC Uerdingen 05 —–— SSVg Velbert (11 Jan 2026)
- SSVg Velbert 0–1 KFC Uerdingen 05 (26 Mar 2023)
- KFC Uerdingen 05 3–1 SSVg Velbert (24 Sep 2022)


