Germany · Oberliga - Niederrhein

KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SSVg Velbert Prediction

KFC Uerdingen 05 badgeKFC Uerdingen 05 vs SSVg Velbert badgeSSVg Velbert

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the absence of a clear favorite weakens any single-outcome confidence.
  • Uerdingen's superior defensive and head-to-head metrics contrast with Velbert's stronger attack, explaining why the model favors the home side without a decisive edge.
  • Velbert's perfect record of scoring in every league match supports the +1.5 goals component, since both teams carry genuine attacking threat.
  • Uerdingen's recent home form includes a 6-1 win and a 2-1 victory, yet also a 0-1 loss, tempering the reliability of their home advantage.
  • Velbert's away form of three wins from four, including a 3-0 and 4-1, shows they can score freely on the road, qualifying the home-favoring prediction.
  • The head-to-head sample is small and includes a friendly, so the 88-13 home split should be treated as indicative rather than conclusive.
Predicted winner
KFC Uerdingen 05
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : KFC Uerdingen 05 or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorKFC Uerdingen 05SSVg Velbert
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence73.0%27.0%
Poisson59.0%41.0%
H2h88.0%13.0%
Goals80.0%20.0%
Total66.2%34.0%

Team form and goal analysis

KFC Uerdingen 05

Recent form: WLWWDLW.

Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.

SSVg Velbert

Recent form: WWLLWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. KFC Uerdingen 05 —–— SSVg Velbert (11 Jan 2026)
  2. SSVg Velbert 0–1 KFC Uerdingen 05 (26 Mar 2023)
  3. KFC Uerdingen 05 3–1 SSVg Velbert (24 Sep 2022)
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