Kosovo · Liga E Pare

KF Lepenci vs Tefik Canga Prediction

KF Lepenci badgeKF Lepenci vs Tefik Canga badgeTefik Canga

Match prediction

  • Both sides remain winless, so the model's near-even draw-or-away split reflects two teams struggling to close matches rather than a clear away edge.
  • Tefik Canga's superior attack rating and Poisson share support the away lean, yet their zero clean sheets and leaky defence temper that advantage.
  • Lepenci's four home blanks and failure to score in every home fixture explain the low 10% home win probability despite home advantage.
  • Every match for both teams has stayed under 3.5 goals, directly reinforcing the advice's under 3.5 component alongside the double chance.
  • The draw carries equal 45% weight because both teams have drawn frequently, making the draw-or-away combination the safer expression of the away lean.
  • Head-to-head data is absent, so the prediction rests on current form and goal trends, which are consistent but drawn from a small seven-match sample.
Predicted winner
Tefik Canga
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Tefik Canga and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorKF LepenciTefik Canga
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack29.0%71.0%
Defence58.0%42.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total45.7%54.3%

Team form and goal analysis

KF Lepenci

Recent form: LDDDDLL.

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

Tefik Canga

Recent form: LLDDLLD.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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