Scotland · Football League - Highland League
Keith vs Turriff United Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Keith or draw
Match prediction
- Keith's home form is decisive: three home wins versus Turriff's stronger away record, supporting the double-chance advice.
- Turriff's superior attack and defence ratings conflict with Keith's higher Poisson estimate, explaining the cautious draw-inclusive recommendation.
- Keith scores heavily at home while conceding away, so their home venue advantage justifies favoring them despite mixed overall form.
- Turriff's away scoring average is low, weakening their upset chances and reinforcing the Keith-or-draw selection.
- Head-to-head results are evenly split with recent draws and narrow margins, supporting the draw component of the advice.
- Both teams' recent form is inconsistent, so the model's 45% draw probability reflects genuine uncertainty rather than clear dominance.
- Predicted winner
- Keith
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Keith or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Keith | Turriff United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Defence | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Poisson | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Keith
Recent form: LDLDDLWWWLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Turriff United
Recent form: DWWWLLLLLWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Turriff United 1–2 Keith (21 Mar 2026)
- Keith 0–0 Turriff United (18 Oct 2025)
- Turriff United 1–0 Keith (28 Dec 2024)
- Keith 0–1 Turriff United (17 Aug 2024)
- Keith 1–0 Turriff United (14 Feb 2024)