Kastamonuspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor Prediction
Match prediction
- Kastamonuspor's perfect form score against Arnavutköy's winless run supports the double-chance advice, though the 45% draw probability signals the model expects a tight contest.
- Arnavutköy have lost all four league games and failed to score in three, yet their single goal came in the 16-30 window, a small sample worth noting.
- Kastamonuspor's defensive record is poor at 3.00 goals conceded per game, which tempers home confidence despite Arnavutköy's attacking struggles.
- The head-to-head record favours Kastamonuspor with one win and one draw, reinforcing the home-or-draw selection without guaranteeing a victory.
- Both teams average under one goal scored per game, so the draw component of the advice carries real weight given the low-scoring profiles.
- Kastamonuspor's home form includes a 0-5 loss, showing the 100% form metric overstates consistency and justifies the cautious double-chance approach.
- Predicted winner
- Kastamonuspor
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Kastamonuspor or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Kastamonuspor | Arnavutköy Belediyespor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Total | 63.3% | 37.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Kastamonuspor
Recent form: LLWL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
Recent form: LLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Arnavutköy Belediyespor 2–2 Kastamonuspor (04 May 2024)
- Kastamonuspor 3–1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor (24 Dec 2023)