Karlberg vs Sollentuna Prediction
· Stadshagens IP
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% Sollentuna split makes the double chance the logical expression of its output, since Karlberg's 10% win probability is the clear outlier.
- Sollentuna's superior attack and defence ratings, plus a 55.5 total comparison edge, support their favoured status despite identical recent form scores.
- Karlberg's last five produced one win and three defeats, including a 5-0 loss, weakening the case for any home-only bet.
- Sollentuna's nine draws in 24 matches, including a four-game streak, reinforce the draw half of the double chance rather than a straight away win.
- Head-to-head is split evenly, but Sollentuna won the most recent league meeting at this venue, mildly supporting the away side.
- Both teams' goal profiles lean heavily under 2.5, so the advice correctly avoids any over/under market where no prediction was issued.
- Predicted winner
- Sollentuna
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Sollentuna
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Karlberg | Sollentuna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Poisson | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Karlberg
Recent form: WLWWLDDLLDLLWWWLWLDLWLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Sollentuna
Recent form: LWWDDDLLDDDDLLDLWWLWLLDL.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sollentuna 1–2 Karlberg (21 Jul 2026)
- Sollentuna 0–1 Karlberg (04 Apr 2026)
- Sollentuna 3–1 Karlberg (07 Mar 2026)
- Sollentuna 2–2 Karlberg (09 Nov 2025)
- Karlberg 1–2 Sollentuna (27 Jun 2025)