Kariobangi Sharks vs Mombasa Elite Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Mombasa Elite
Match prediction
- Mombasa Elite's 45% win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the model still leaves a meaningful chance of outright defeat.
- Kariobangi Sharks' superior form, attack, and defence ratings conflict with the prediction, suggesting those comparison metrics may reflect stale or misleading data.
- The head-to-head record and recent 2-1 win for Mombasa Elite directly support the away side's edge in this fixture.
- Mombasa Elite's single-match sample makes their perfect form and goal averages unreliable, weakening confidence in the model's lean.
- Kariobangi Sharks' 14 draws in 35 matches and low scoring rate point to a tight contest, consistent with the draw component of the advice.
- Both teams' goals data show most matches staying under 2.5, implying a low-scoring game that could favour the draw half of the double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Mombasa Elite
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Mombasa Elite
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Kariobangi Sharks | Mombasa Elite |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| Attack | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| Defence | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Kariobangi Sharks
Recent form: DDLWLLDLDDLLWDLDLDWDDWLWLLDLWDWDDWL.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Mombasa Elite
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Mombasa Elite 2–1 Kariobangi Sharks (01 Oct 2026)