Turkey · 3. Lig - Group 1

Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Amasyaspor 1968 Prediction

Karabük İdman Yurdu badgeKarabük İdman Yurdu vs Amasyaspor 1968 badgeAmasyaspor 1968

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even split between home win and draw, with away slightly lower, supports the double-chance advice rather than a straight home victory.
  • Karabük's superior recent form and dominant head-to-head record, including a win and a draw, reinforce the lean toward them avoiding defeat.
  • Amasyaspor's stronger defensive rating conflicts with Karabük's home scoring struggles, but the head-to-head clean sheets suggest a low-scoring pattern.
  • Both teams' goal data show every match staying under 3.5 goals, directly supporting the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Karabük's heavy home loss to Kartal Bulvarspor is an outlier against otherwise solid away form, so it should not override the broader trend.
  • Amasyaspor's ten-goal cup win is a clear outlier against modest league scoring, weakening any inference of sustained attacking threat here.
Predicted winner
Karabük İdman Yurdu
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Karabük İdman Yurdu or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorKarabük İdman YurduAmasyaspor 1968
Form58.0%42.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson31.0%69.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total51.8%48.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Karabük İdman Yurdu

Recent form: LWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Amasyaspor 1968

Recent form: WDDL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Karabük İdman Yurdu 1–0 Amasyaspor 1968 (15 Feb 2026)
  2. Amasyaspor 1968 0–0 Karabük İdman Yurdu (12 Oct 2025)
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