Kansas City W vs Bay FC W Prediction
· CPKC Stadium
Match prediction
- Kansas City's perfect home record, with nine wins and no losses, directly supports the home-winner advice despite the model splitting home and draw evenly at 45 percent.
- The 45 percent draw probability tempers confidence, since Kansas City's away form is poor and Bay FC has drawn five times this season.
- Kansas City's attack and Poisson metrics heavily outweigh Bay FC's, reinforcing the home side's edge in expected scoring.
- Bay FC's low scoring average and frequent failures to score suggest Kansas City's defence should limit the visitors' chances.
- Kansas City won the most recent head-to-head away from home, showing the matchup advantage extends beyond venue.
- Kansas City's recent home win over Denver contrasts with Bay FC's loss to Orlando, supporting the home-winner advice on current form.
- Predicted winner
- Kansas City W
- Betting advice
- Winner : Kansas City W
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Kansas City W | Bay FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Attack | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| Defence | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Poisson | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| Total | 68.6% | 31.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Kansas City W
Recent form: WLLLWLWWWLWWWLDLWDDLDWWDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Bay FC W
Recent form: WLWLLWDDLLLDWWLLLDLWLLLDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Bay FC W 1–2 Kansas City W (05 Sep 2026)
- Bay FC W 0–2 Kansas City W (07 Sep 2025)
- Kansas City W 4–1 Bay FC W (11 May 2025)
- Bay FC W 0–1 Kansas City W (13 Oct 2024)
- Kansas City W 5–2 Bay FC W (21 Apr 2024)