Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor vs Ankara Demirspor Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's equal 35% home and draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight home win.
- Kahramanmaraş's perfect head-to-head and goals records are built on only two meetings, so they overstate a small sample.
- Ankara Demirspor's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings conflict with the home-favouring head-to-head, explaining why the away side still holds 30%.
- Kahramanmaraş's two clean sheets and low scoring suggest a tight match, supporting the draw component of the advice.
- Ankara Demirspor scoring in every recent match but conceding late goals keeps them live, so the double chance remains the safer cover.
- Both teams' modest four-match samples make the head-to-head dominance less reliable than the near-even probabilities imply.
- Predicted winner
- Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor | Ankara Demirspor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Attack | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Defence | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Poisson | 18.0% | 82.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 37.3% | 62.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
Recent form: DDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Ankara Demirspor
Recent form: WWDL.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor 2–0 Ankara Demirspor (19 Apr 2026)
- Ankara Demirspor 0–3 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor (17 Dec 2025)