Japan · J3 League

Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United Prediction

· Shiranami Stadium

Kagoshima United badgeKagoshima United vs Fukushima United badgeFukushima United

Match prediction

  • Kagoshima's unbeaten eight-match record and superior form justify the win-or-draw component of the advice.
  • The model's equal 45% home and draw probabilities explain why the safer double chance is preferred over an outright home win.
  • Fukushima's leaky defence, conceding 2.5 goals per game, supports the +1.5 goals element despite their occasional scoring bursts.
  • Kagoshima's dominance in head-to-head and Poisson metrics reinforces their clear edge, though the draw probability tempers outright confidence.
  • Fukushima's recent 7-0 loss and five defeats in eight show vulnerability, but their ability to score keeps the goals market relevant.
  • Both teams' tendency toward late goals suggests the +1.5 line is well-founded even if the match stays tight early.
Predicted winner
Kagoshima United
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Kagoshima United or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorKagoshima UnitedFukushima United
Form65.0%35.0%
Attack52.0%48.0%
Defence63.0%37.0%
Poisson78.0%22.0%
H2h85.0%15.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total69.7%30.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Kagoshima United

Recent form: WWDWWWWD.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Fukushima United

Recent form: LLLDWLLW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Fukushima United 2–2 Kagoshima United (30 Aug 2025)
  2. Kagoshima United 5–0 Fukushima United (17 May 2025)
  3. Fukushima United 0–1 Kagoshima United (29 Oct 2023)
  4. Kagoshima United 3–1 Fukushima United (09 Jul 2023)
  5. Fukushima United 1–1 Kagoshima United (23 Oct 2022)
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