Jordan vs Syria Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Jordan, giving them a 45% win probability and a 45% draw probability against Syria's 10%, with the advice combining a Jordan win with over 2.5 goals. That split between home win and draw is notable because the comparison metrics are far less ambiguous, showing Jordan ahead on form (100 versus 0), attack (83 versus 17), defence (29 versus 71), Poisson (72 versus 28), head-to-head (80 versus 20), goals (78 versus 22) and total (68.4 versus 31.6). The head-to-head record reinforces that edge, with Jordan winning four of the five listed meetings, including 2-0 in 2022 and 1-0 in 2020, while Syria's only success came 1-0 in 2019. However, the recent last-five records complicate the picture: Jordan lost all five listed matches, conceding three to Argentina, two to Algeria, three to Austria, two to Colombia and four to Switzerland, while scoring just four goals across those games. Syria's sample is thinner and mixed, with a 4-1 loss to Belarus, a 5-1 win over Afghanistan, a 1-0 loss to Morocco and a 0-0 draw with Palestine, so their form string of a single "L" reflects only one recorded fixture rather than a stable trend. Jordan's goals analysis shows 5 goals scored and 10 conceded across four matches, averaging 1.30 for and 2.50 against, with no clean sheets and a failure to score in one game, while Syria have 1 goal for and 4 against in one match, averaging 1.00 and 4.00. The goal-timing data also hints at late activity, with Jordan scoring 40% of their goals in the 46-60 and 76-90 windows and Syria's only goal arriving in the 76-90 window, which loosely supports the over 2.5 element of the advice. Even so, Jordan's own under-over record shows zero overs at the 2.5 line across four matches, and Syria's single match also stayed under 2.5, so the goals side of the combination is the least supported part of the model output. Overall, the broad statistical comparison and head-to-head history point toward Jordan, but their poor recent results and the low-scoring profiles of both teams mean the win-and-over combination carries more uncertainty than the probabilities alone suggest.

Predicted winner

Jordan

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Jordan and +2.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+2.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Jordan 2–0 Syria (23 Sep 2022)
2. Jordan 1–0 Syria (16 Nov 2020)
3. Jordan 0–1 Syria (23 Mar 2019)
4. Jordan 2–0 Syria (10 Jan 2019)
5. Jordan 2–1 Syria (17 Jan 2011)