Johnstone Burgh vs Renfrew Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Johnstone Burgh with a double chance of win or draw, assigning 45% to a home win and 45% to a draw against only 10% for Renfrew, a split that already hints the outright result is far from settled. That caution is echoed by the comparison metrics, where Johnstone Burgh lead on form (63 versus 38), attack (62 versus 38), defence (58 versus 42) and Poisson (69 versus 31), yet the head-to-head, goals and total-goals columns are all empty or zero, so those dimensions offer no independent support. The team analysis explains part of the edge: Johnstone Burgh are unbeaten at home across four fixtures with three wins, two home clean sheets and no home failure to score, while Renfrew have lost five of six home games and conceded 21 goals at home, though Renfrew's away record of one win, one draw and one loss is far more respectable. Renfrew's overall form of LLDLLLLWW is poor, but the two most recent results are wins, including a 3-0 home victory over Beith and a 3-1 away win at Pollok, which qualifies any assumption that they arrive in freefall. Johnstone Burgh's own last five are mixed rather than dominant, with a 0-1 away loss at Largs Thistle followed by a 2-1 win at Troon, a 4-4 draw at Cumbernauld Colts and home wins over Dalbeattie Star and Newton Stewart. The goals analysis reinforces the home side's attacking case, as Johnstone Burgh average 2.10 goals per game overall and 2.80 at home while conceding only 1.00 at home, whereas Renfrew average 1.80 scored but 2.90 conceded, inflated by 3.50 against them in home matches. Renfrew's scoring is also heavily weighted late, with 30.77% of their goals in the 61-75 and 76-90 windows, and their defensive concessions cluster in the 31-45 band at 30.77%, suggesting the game could remain open into its later stages. The head-to-head record is unavailable, so the prediction rests on current form, venue splits and goal profiles rather than any historical matchup pattern, and the unusually high 45% draw probability alongside a 10% away win keeps the advice plausible but not commanding.

Predicted winner

Johnstone Burgh

Betting advice

Double chance : Johnstone Burgh or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.