Ykkösliiga · Finland

JIPPO vs PK-35 Prediction

JIPPO badgeJIPPO vs PK-35 badgePK-35

Match prediction

The existing model gives PK-35 a double-chance edge of draw or away win, with home, draw, and away probabilities of 10%, 45%, and 45%, so the advice rests on a near-even split between a draw and a PK-35 victory rather than a clear away superiority. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where PK-35 leads on form (53 vs 47), attack (56 vs 44), defence (56 vs 44), and especially Poisson (88 vs 12), yet the head-to-head split is perfectly level at 50–50 and JIPPO actually leads the goals comparison 56–44. The season records help reconcile this tension: JIPPO have 11 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses from 24, while PK-35 have 14 wins, 6 draws, and only 4 losses, with a five-match winning streak and nine away clean sheets pointing to a stronger and more resilient side. JIPPO's goals analysis shows a modest 1.30 scored and 0.90 conceded per game, but their away scoring improves to 1.60 and their home defence is stingy at 0.70, suggesting they are hard to break down even if they lack attacking punch. PK-35's goals profile is more potent at 1.70 scored per game, driven by 2.00 away per match, and their away defence of 0.20 conceded is remarkably low, though their home defence of 1.20 shows the venue matters. The last-five records add a note of volatility: JIPPO have won three, lost two, and scored in three of those games, while PK-35 have won three, drawn one, and lost one, including a 0–3 home defeat to Kooteepee that shows they are not immune to heavy losses. The head-to-head record is the strongest qualifier, with ten meetings producing four draws, four PK-35 wins, and two JIPPO wins, and the most recent 2026 fixtures were a 1–1 draw and a 0–1 PK-35 away win, so neither side has dominated this matchup. Overall, the evidence supports the draw-or-PK-35 advice through PK-35's superior form, defence, and Poisson profile, but the level head-to-head and JIPPO's home defensive record mean the draw component carries real weight and the outcome remains uncertain.

Predicted winner
PK-35
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or PK-35
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorJIPPOPK-35
Form47.0%53.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson12.0%88.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals56.0%44.0%
Total42.2%57.8%

Team form and goal analysis

JIPPO

Recent form: DWDWWDWLLDWDDWWDWLLWWLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

PK-35

Recent form: WDWLLWDWWDWWWWWDLWDWWDWL.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. PK-35 1–1 JIPPO (25 Jul 2026)
  2. JIPPO 0–1 PK-35 (23 May 2026)
  3. PK-35 0–2 JIPPO (29 Aug 2025)
  4. PK-35 1–1 JIPPO (25 Jul 2025)
  5. JIPPO 1–1 PK-35 (01 Jun 2025)
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