Jinju Citizen vs Geoje Citizen Prediction
Match prediction
- Jinju's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson scores justify favouring them, though the model splits home and draw evenly at 45 percent each.
- Jinju's 16 wins from 20 with no scoreless games signal consistent scoring, supporting the double chance rather than a straight home win.
- Geoje's away record of six wins from eleven and four away clean sheets shows they are far more dangerous on the road than their 10 percent win probability implies.
- The lone head-to-head ended 2-2, and its even 50-50 split tempers any expectation of a decisive Jinju victory.
- Jinju's recent wobble, one loss and one draw in five, contrasts with Geoje's two straight away wins, adding draw risk to the advice.
- Both attacks average 2.30 goals at home, so Geoje's scoring threat supports the draw leg of the double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Jinju Citizen
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Jinju Citizen or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Jinju Citizen | Geoje Citizen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Attack | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Defence | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Poisson | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Jinju Citizen
Recent form: WWWWWWWWDWLWWWWWWDLW.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Geoje Citizen
Recent form: LWDLDLWWDWWLLLWLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Geoje Citizen 2–2 Jinju Citizen (10 May 2026)