Jendouba Sport vs Ariana Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's near-even split, with home and draw each at 35%, frames the double-chance advice as a hedge rather than a confident home verdict.
• Jendouba's 85% head-to-head edge and 64% goals share support favouring them, yet their 0% form and attack scores show that edge is historical, not current.
• Ariana's 100% form and attack ratings rest on a single draw, so that maximum is a small-sample artifact rather than proven superiority.
• Both teams' recent matches and head-to-head meetings have stayed low-scoring, which underpins the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
• Ariana's missed penalty and winless start slightly undercut their perfect form rating, reinforcing why the draw is included alongside the home side.
• Identical 50% defensive ratings and zero Poisson values suggest no side dominates, so the combined double chance and under-goals advice reflects genuine uncertainty.

Predicted winner

Jendouba Sport

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Jendouba Sport or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Jendouba Sport 2–2 Ariana (04 Apr 2026)
2. Ariana 1–1 Jendouba Sport (08 Nov 2025)
3. Ariana 0–1 Jendouba Sport (27 Apr 2025)
4. Jendouba Sport 2–1 Ariana (14 Dec 2024)
5. Jendouba Sport 3–1 Ariana (14 Jun 2024)