Second NL · Croatia

Jarun vs Grobničan Čavle Prediction

· Stadion NK Jarun

Jarun badgeJarun vs Grobničan Čavle badgeGrobničan Čavle

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Jarun as the winner with a “Combo Winner : Jarun and +2.5 goals” advice, though its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability and only 10% for Grobničan Čavle, so the win element is far from clear-cut. That uncertainty is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where form is level at 50.00 for both sides and defence is also identical at 50.00, leaving Jarun’s 58.00 attack rating against Grobničan’s 42.00 as the main separator. The Poisson split of 100.00 to 0.00 and the total comparison of 52.70 to 47.30 point the same direction, but the head-to-head, goals, and total goal comparison fields are all populated with 0.00 values, which suggests those inputs are neutral or unavailable rather than a genuine edge. Jarun’s last five of DDWDD shows a side that is difficult to beat but rarely wins, with four draws and a single 1-0 away victory, while Grobničan’s LWDLW is more volatile and includes a 5-1 home win alongside a 4-0 away loss and a 0-3 home defeat. The goals analysis supports the +2.5 element more than the outright winner: Jarun averages 2.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match, and their five games produced over 2.5 goals only twice, so the high-scoring case is not overwhelming. Grobničan’s goal profile is even more contradictory, with 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded on average, but all eight of their goals came at home and none away, where they also conceded four times in their only away fixture. The last-five records add further tension, as Jarun’s 3-3 and 4-4 home draws show they can be involved in high-scoring games, yet their 1-0 and 1-1 away results show a lower-scoring alternative. Grobničan’s away form is the clearest qualifier to the advice, since their only away match in this sample ended 4-0 and their away goals-for average is 0.00, which weakens confidence in both a Jarun win and a comfortable over 2.5 outcome. The head-to-head section is empty, so no historical meeting data can be used to confirm or challenge the model’s lean, and the overall picture is therefore a modest Jarun edge supported by attack and Poisson metrics but qualified by identical form and defence, a draw-heavy home record, and Grobničan’s extreme home-away split.

Predicted winner
Jarun
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Jarun and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorJarunGrobničan Čavle
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total52.7%47.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Jarun

Recent form: DDWDD.

Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.

Grobničan Čavle

Recent form: LWDLW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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