Jahn Regensburg II vs Weiden Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Jahn Regensburg II a 45% home win probability and a 45% draw probability, leaving Weiden at just 10%, which frames the double-chance advice as a cautious lean toward the home side rather than a confident outright win. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Regensburg II lead on form (59 vs 41), attack (64 vs 36), defence (60 vs 40) and Poisson (58 vs 42), yet the goals comparison flips sharply in Weiden's favour at 69 vs 31. The head-to-head split is the most striking conflict, with Weiden holding an 85 to 15 edge despite Regensburg II winning the most recent meeting 4-1 in August 2025 and drawing three of the six recorded encounters. Regensburg II's form string of DDLWLLWWWWD and five wins from eleven matches, including a 5-0 away win and a 3-0 home win, suggests a side capable of both dominant and erratic spells. Their goals analysis shows 2.10 scored and 1.70 conceded per game, with a notably stronger home defensive record of 1.20 conceded versus 2.20 away, which supports the view that this fixture at home is a more favourable setting. Weiden's form of LLDLDLWWLWL and only three wins from eleven, with five home defeats and a 2-7 loss among them, points to a fragile team whose 2.30 goals conceded per game is the weaker defensive profile in this matchup. Their last five results are mixed, featuring a 3-0 away win at Stadeln and a 3-1 away win at Bayern Hof but also home losses to Gebenbach and Fortuna Regensburg, hinting that their threat may travel better than it shows at home. Regensburg II's last five are stronger overall, with four wins and a draw, including clean sheets against Kornburg, ASV Neumarkt and DJK Bamberg, though the 2-2 draw at Bayern Hof shows they are not immune to dropped points. The goals-for minute data is too sparse to draw conclusions, as both teams record only a single goal in the 0-15 window with all other intervals null, so no timing pattern can be responsibly inferred. Overall, the statistical weight of form, attack, defence and Poisson supports the double-chance advice, but the head-to-head and goals comparisons introduce enough counter-evidence that the draw component of that advice looks well justified rather than the home win alone.

Predicted winner

Jahn Regensburg II

Betting advice

Double chance : Jahn Regensburg II or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Weiden 1–0 Jahn Regensburg II (20 Mar 2026)
2. Jahn Regensburg II 1–4 Weiden (30 Aug 2025)
3. Jahn Regensburg II 1–2 Weiden (05 Apr 2025)
4. Weiden 1–1 Jahn Regensburg II (13 Sep 2024)
5. Weiden 1–1 Jahn Regensburg II (17 Mar 2023)