Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction
Match prediction
- Jagiellonia's 45% win probability matches the draw, so the model's edge is modest despite the winner selection.
- Jagiellonia's 90 defence rating against Polonia's 10 suggests a clear quality gap supporting the home winner.
- Polonia's 100% head-to-head and goals ratings rest on a single 2023 friendly, too small a sample to trust.
- Jagiellonia's recent five-match form is poor, with four losses, which tempers confidence in the home win.
- Jagiellonia's 2.50 home goals average against Polonia's 1.80 conceded average points to home scoring chances.
- Polonia's 1.80 goals-against average and one clean sheet in ten suggest they can be breached at home.
- Predicted winner
- Jagiellonia
- Betting advice
- Winner : Jagiellonia
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Jagiellonia | Polonia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| Poisson | 96.0% | 4.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 81.0% | 19.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Jagiellonia
Recent form: LDWWDWWWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Polonia Warszawa
Recent form: WLWWLLWLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Jagiellonia 0–1 Polonia Warszawa (07 Jul 2023)