3. liga - CFL B · Czech-Republic

Jablonec II vs Hradec Králové II Prediction

· Fotbalovy stadion Brizky

Jablonec II badgeJablonec II vs Hradec Králové II badgeHradec Králové II

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Jablonec II via a double chance covering a win or draw, with home and draw each at 45% against only 10% for Hradec Králové II, and it pairs that with a -3.5 goals line that implies a low-scoring expectation. That split is consistent with the comparison metrics, where Jablonec II dominates form (79 vs 21), attack (93 vs 7) and Poisson (91 vs 9), yet the head-to-head (38 vs 62) and goals (47 vs 53) columns tilt toward Hradec Králové II, so the model's confidence is not uniform across all dimensions. Defence is the one metric that is perfectly level at 50 apiece, which helps explain why the probabilities stop short of a clear home win and instead hedge toward the draw. Jablonec II's team analysis reinforces the strong side of that picture: seven matches unbeaten (four wins, three draws), no defeats, four clean sheets and no match in which they failed to score, including a 6-0 home win and a 2-0 away win. Hradec Králové II's record is far weaker, with just one win in seven, four draws, two defeats and four matches without scoring, so their attacking threat looks limited rather than merely unlucky. The goals analysis sharpens the low-scoring case: Jablonec II average 2.30 goals for and only 0.60 against, while Hradec Králové II average 0.60 for and 0.70 against, and both teams have stayed under 2.5 goals in six of seven matches. Jablonec II's concession pattern is also late-weighted, with three of their four goals against arriving in the 76-90 window, a detail that slightly qualifies any assumption of complete defensive control. The last-five records show Jablonec II with three wins and two draws, including a 6-0 and a 2-0, whereas Hradec Králové II have three 0-0 draws, one 1-2 loss and one 0-1 loss, so their recent matches have produced almost no goals at either end. The head-to-head record is the main counterweight, since Hradec Králové II lead it 62 to 38 and the most recent meeting was a 5-2 friendly win for Jablonec II, while the competitive fixtures include a 3-0 Jablonec II away win, a 2-2 draw and a 1-0 Hradec Králové II win, showing this pairing has not been one-sided. Taken together, the evidence supports the double-chance and under-3.5 framing more than a decisive home victory, but the head-to-head and goals splits mean that read should be treated as a lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner
Jablonec II
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Jablonec II or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorJablonec IIHradec Králové II
Form79.0%21.0%
Attack93.0%7.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson91.0%9.0%
H2h38.0%62.0%
Goals47.0%53.0%
Total66.3%33.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Jablonec II

Recent form: WDWDWDW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Hradec Králové II

Recent form: WDDLDDL.

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Hradec Králové II 2–5 Jablonec II (15 Jul 2026)
  2. Hradec Králové II 2–2 Jablonec II (26 Apr 2026)
  3. Jablonec II 0–3 Hradec Králové II (27 Sep 2025)
  4. Hradec Králové II 1–0 Jablonec II (13 Apr 2025)
  5. Jablonec II 1–1 Hradec Králové II (23 Oct 2024)
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