Izola vs Škofja Loka Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans heavily toward Izola, assigning a 50% home win probability with the remaining 50% on the draw and no away win, and its advice combines an Izola win with over 3.5 goals. That stance is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Izola dominates form (71 vs 29), attack (77 vs 23), defence (71 vs 29), goals (75 vs 25) and especially Poisson (96 vs 4), while the head-to-head split of 64 to 36 is comparatively the least one-sided indicator. Izola's team analysis shows a perfect six wins from six with no draws or defeats, four clean sheets and no failure to score, whereas Škofja Loka have two wins, three draws and one loss, with their away record showing no wins and a 4-0 defeat at Dob. The goals analysis sharpens this contrast: Izola average 4.70 goals scored and only 0.70 conceded per game, while Škofja Loka average 2.00 scored and 1.70 conceded, with their away scoring dropping to 1.00 and away conceding rising to 3.00. Izola's last five confirm the trend with five wins including an 11-0 home rout of Vipava and a 5-2 win over Šencur, though the 1-0 at Tolmin shows they do not always produce a high-scoring game. Škofja Loka's last five are far more mixed, with three draws, a 3-2 home win over IB 1975 Ljubljana and the 4-0 loss at Dob, suggesting they can compete at home but travel poorly. The head-to-head record offers a note of caution for the home side, since Škofja Loka won the 2025 meeting 2-1 and Izola's 5-0 win in 2020 came away from home, so the venue pattern is not straightforward. The over 3.5 element is supported by Izola's goals-for distribution, where four of six matches went over 3.5 and only two under, but it is qualified by Škofja Loka's own totals, where five of six stayed under 3.5 and their away attack has been limited. Overall the evidence points to a strong Izola advantage in current form, scoring and defensive solidity, but the 50% draw probability and the mixed head-to-head history mean the outcome should be treated as a lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner

Izola

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Izola and +3.5 goals

Home win probability

50%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

0%

Goals market

+3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Izola 3–1 Škofja Loka (04 Apr 2026)
2. Škofja Loka 2–1 Izola (20 Sep 2025)
3. Izola —–— Škofja Loka (02 May 2021)
4. Škofja Loka 0–5 Izola (10 Oct 2020)