Iváncsa vs Sárbogárd Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Iváncsa's superior attack and defensive ratings, plus a stronger Poisson share, support favoring them despite their inconsistent recent form.
- Sárbogárd's weak away record and leaky defense raise the likelihood Iváncsa scores, reinforcing the +1.5 goals component.
- Both teams concede regularly and neither keeps clean sheets often, making a low-scoring match unlikely and supporting the goals advice.
- The absence of head-to-head data means the prediction rests mainly on season form and goal metrics rather than direct matchup history.
- Sárbogárd's low win probability of 10% makes an outright away victory the least likely outcome, consistent with the double-chance selection.
- Predicted winner
- Iváncsa
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Iváncsa or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Iváncsa | Sárbogárd |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Attack | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Iváncsa
Recent form: WLWLLLWW.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Sárbogárd
Recent form: LLLLDLWLD.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


