Hungary · NB III - Southwest

Iváncsa vs Sárbogárd Prediction

Iváncsa badgeIváncsa vs Sárbogárd badgeSárbogárd

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
  • Iváncsa's superior attack and defensive ratings, plus a stronger Poisson share, support favoring them despite their inconsistent recent form.
  • Sárbogárd's weak away record and leaky defense raise the likelihood Iváncsa scores, reinforcing the +1.5 goals component.
  • Both teams concede regularly and neither keeps clean sheets often, making a low-scoring match unlikely and supporting the goals advice.
  • The absence of head-to-head data means the prediction rests mainly on season form and goal metrics rather than direct matchup history.
  • Sárbogárd's low win probability of 10% makes an outright away victory the least likely outcome, consistent with the double-chance selection.
Predicted winner
Iváncsa
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Iváncsa or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorIváncsaSárbogárd
Form55.0%45.0%
Attack59.0%41.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson70.0%30.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total54.3%45.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Iváncsa

Recent form: WLWLLLWW.

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Sárbogárd

Recent form: LLLLDLWLD.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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