Iváncsa vs Érdi VSE Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Iváncsa with a 45% home win and 45% draw against only 10% for Érdi VSE, framing the advice as a double chance on Iváncsa or draw combined with over 1.5 goals. That caution is understandable because the comparison metrics are genuinely mixed: Iváncsa leads on form (55 vs 45), defence (44 vs 56), head-to-head (71 vs 29) and goals (75 vs 25), while Érdi VSE leads on attack (58 vs 42) and narrowly on Poisson (52 vs 48). The head-to-head record is the strongest single support for the advice, since Iváncsa won the most recent meeting 3-0 away in the Magyar Kupa and also took a 3-0 home win in October 2023, though Érdi VSE's 2-1 win in April 2026 and 1-0 win in May 2024 show this fixture has not been one-sided. Recent form complicates the picture, as Iváncsa's last five read W-L-L-L-L with a 7-0 away collapse at Pécsi MFC and a 0-4 home loss to Szeged 2011, while Érdi VSE's last five are W-D-L-L-L, including a 4-3 home win over Sárbogárd and a 3-3 draw with Ferencváros II. Both teams' goal profiles point toward the over 1.5 element: Iváncsa averaged 1.90 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game, and Érdi VSE averaged 2.40 scored and 2.30 conceded, with Érdi VSE scoring in all seven matches and keeping no clean sheets. Érdi VSE's scoring is heavily front-loaded, with 41.18% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes, whereas Iváncsa concede 27.78% of their goals in that same window, suggesting early pressure is a real risk to the home side. Iváncsa's home form is modest at one win and two defeats from three, and Érdi VSE have drawn three of seven overall, which helps explain why the model splits so much probability between a home win and a draw rather than committing to either. The small samples involved—seven league matches each and only five head-to-head meetings—mean these splits should be treated as indicative rather than decisive, and no venue or line-up information is available to sharpen the read.

Predicted winner

Iváncsa

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Iváncsa or draw and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Érdi VSE 0–3 Iváncsa (21 Aug 2026)
2. Érdi VSE 2–1 Iváncsa (19 Apr 2026)
3. Iváncsa 1–1 Érdi VSE (05 Oct 2025)
4. Érdi VSE 0–1 Iváncsa (05 May 2024)
5. Iváncsa 3–0 Érdi VSE (22 Oct 2023)