Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan Prediction
· Stade Ibn Batouta
Match prediction
- The model's three-way probabilities are nearly even, so the home win carries only a slim edge over draw and away outcomes.
- Ittihad Tanger's perfect recent form contrasts with Tetouan's draw, yet the head-to-head record favors the visitors, tempering confidence in the home pick.
- Both teams' goal samples are extremely small, making the -3.5 goals advice more a reflection of limited scoring evidence than proven defensive strength.
- Tetouan's clean sheet and failure to score in their only match suggest a low-scoring profile that supports the under component of the combo.
- Ittihad Tanger scored three in their sole away win but also conceded, hinting their matches may not stay as quiet as the goals line implies.
- The narrow probability gap and conflicting form, head-to-head, and scoring signals mean the combo advice rests on fragile, small-sample evidence.
- Predicted winner
- Ittihad Tanger
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Ittihad Tanger and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Ittihad Tanger | Moghreb Tetouan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Attack | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Ittihad Tanger
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.
Moghreb Tetouan
Recent form: D.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Moghreb Tetouan 2–1 Ittihad Tanger (14 Apr 2025)
- Ittihad Tanger 1–2 Moghreb Tetouan (23 Nov 2024)
- Moghreb Tetouan 1–1 Ittihad Tanger (14 Apr 2024)
- Ittihad Tanger 1–1 Moghreb Tetouan (26 Nov 2023)
- Ittihad Tanger 2–0 Moghreb Tetouan (21 Feb 2023)


