Morocco · Botola Pro

Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan Prediction

· Stade Ibn Batouta

Ittihad Tanger badgeIttihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan badgeMoghreb Tetouan

Match prediction

  • The model's three-way probabilities are nearly even, so the home win carries only a slim edge over draw and away outcomes.
  • Ittihad Tanger's perfect recent form contrasts with Tetouan's draw, yet the head-to-head record favors the visitors, tempering confidence in the home pick.
  • Both teams' goal samples are extremely small, making the -3.5 goals advice more a reflection of limited scoring evidence than proven defensive strength.
  • Tetouan's clean sheet and failure to score in their only match suggest a low-scoring profile that supports the under component of the combo.
  • Ittihad Tanger scored three in their sole away win but also conceded, hinting their matches may not stay as quiet as the goals line implies.
  • The narrow probability gap and conflicting form, head-to-head, and scoring signals mean the combo advice rests on fragile, small-sample evidence.
Predicted winner
Ittihad Tanger
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Ittihad Tanger and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorIttihad TangerMoghreb Tetouan
Form75.0%25.0%
Attack100.0%0.0%
Defence0.0%100.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h38.0%62.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total54.3%45.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Ittihad Tanger

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Moghreb Tetouan

Recent form: D.

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Moghreb Tetouan 2–1 Ittihad Tanger (14 Apr 2025)
  2. Ittihad Tanger 1–2 Moghreb Tetouan (23 Nov 2024)
  3. Moghreb Tetouan 1–1 Ittihad Tanger (14 Apr 2024)
  4. Ittihad Tanger 1–1 Moghreb Tetouan (26 Nov 2023)
  5. Ittihad Tanger 2–0 Moghreb Tetouan (21 Feb 2023)
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