Italy U21 vs Poland U21 Prediction

Match prediction

• Poland's perfect nine-win record and seven clean sheets justify the model favoring them despite Italy's strong home scoring form.
• The 45-45 split between away win and draw reflects Poland's dominance being offset by Italy's unbeaten home record and attacking output.
• Poland's head-to-head win and superior defensive metrics explain why the model assigns Italy only a 10% win probability.
• Italy's 3.80 home goals per game suggests they can score, but Poland's zero away goals conceded makes a clean home win unlikely.
• Poland's goals cluster late in halves, so the draw-or-Poland advice covers the risk of a tight match decided after the break.
• The double chance advice is supported because both teams score consistently, yet Poland's edge in defence and form tilts the balance away from a home win.

Predicted winner

Poland U21

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Poland U21

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Poland U21 2–1 Italy U21 (14 Nov 2025)