Israel vs Kosovo Prediction
Match prediction
- Kosovo's perfect form score and superior attack, defence and Poisson ratings explain why the model gives them a 50% win probability.
- Israel's two straight defeats, including a 0-3 home loss, justify their 0% win probability and the advice to avoid backing them outright.
- The draw also carries 50%, so the double-chance advice correctly hedges against Kosovo's inability to convert dominance into a guaranteed win.
- Kosovo's head-to-head edge of 80% is built on just two meetings, so it supports but does not independently prove the prediction.
- Both teams' small two-match samples and Israel's six goals conceded suggest defensive fragility, though Kosovo's away loss to Austria tempers their away reliability.
- Kosovo scoring all their goals late while Israel concede throughout implies the match may stay tight before Kosovo's threat materialises.
- Predicted winner
- Kosovo
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Kosovo
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Israel | Kosovo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 29.8% | 70.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Israel
Recent form: LL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Kosovo
Recent form: WL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Kosovo 1–0 Israel (12 Nov 2023)
- Israel 1–1 Kosovo (25 Mar 2023)