Ismaning vs 1860 München II Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Ismaning as a narrow home winner, but its 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away split shows that confidence is only marginal, which makes the “Ismaning and +1.5 goals” combination advice more about combining a slight edge with a likely goal threshold than about a clear favourite. The comparison metrics broadly reinforce that home lean through form (58 versus 42), attack (63 versus 38) and especially Poisson (72 versus 28), yet the head-to-head metric is the sharpest counterweight, sitting at 0 versus 100 in favour of 1860 München II. That conflict matters because Ismaning’s overall record of four wins, two draws and five defeats across eleven matches is modest, while 1860 München II’s three wins, four draws and four defeats is similarly mixed, so neither team’s season profile is dominant. Ismaning’s home splits are more encouraging than their away form, with three home wins, one home draw and one home loss, whereas 1860 München II have won only once on the road and lost three away matches, which helps explain why the model still gives Ismaning the edge despite the head-to-head history. The goals analysis supports the +1.5 component: Ismaning average 1.80 goals per match overall and 2.60 at home, while 1860 München II average 2.00 both overall and in each venue split, and Ismaning have seen over 1.5 goals in six of eleven matches. Defensively, however, Ismaning concede only 1.40 per match overall and 1.20 at home, while 1860 München II concede 2.00 overall and 3.00 away, which suggests the away side’s leaky road record could raise the goal count even if the winner remains uncertain. The last-five records add further qualification: Ismaning have two wins, one draw and two defeats with 10 goals scored and 5 conceded, while 1860 München II have one win, two draws and two defeats with 6 scored and 9 conceded, so recent form is not overwhelmingly one-sided. The head-to-head record is the most awkward evidence for the prediction, as 1860 München II have won five of the eight listed meetings, including a 5-1 home win in May 2026 and a 2-1 away win at Ismaning in November 2025, although Ismaning did win 2-0 at home in July 2024. Overall, the advice looks like a cautious compromise: the form, attack, Poisson and home-away splits point slightly toward Ismaning, the +1.5 goal line is supported by both teams’ scoring and 1860 München II’s away defensive record, but the strong head-to-head bias and the near-even probability split mean this should be treated as a marginal, uncertain call rather than a confident one.

Predicted winner

Ismaning

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Ismaning and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. 1860 München II 5–1 Ismaning (16 May 2026)
2. Ismaning 1–2 1860 München II (02 Nov 2025)
3. 1860 München II 1–0 Ismaning (09 Nov 2024)
4. Ismaning 0–2 1860 München II (31 Jul 2024)
5. Ismaning 0–3 1860 München II (04 Nov 2023)