Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Intercity vs Yeclano Prediction

· Camp Municipal Antonio Solana

Intercity badgeIntercity vs Yeclano badgeYeclano

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Yeclano's 10% away probability is the clear outlier.
  • Intercity's superior attack and defence ratings, plus an 80-20 head-to-head edge, support the home side's stronger overall profile.
  • Yeclano's 0.50 goals-against average and two clean sheets in four games signal a resilient defence that could frustrate Intercity.
  • Intercity's unbeaten four-match run, including two away wins, contrasts with Yeclano's alternating form and suggests greater consistency.
  • Both teams' low goal totals and Yeclano's 0.80 scoring average point toward a tight, low-scoring contest rather than a decisive home win.
  • The Poisson model's 57% away lean conflicts with the head-to-head and form data, which explains why the advice hedges with a draw.
Predicted winner
Intercity
Betting advice
Double chance : Intercity or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorIntercityYeclano
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson43.0%57.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total56.0%44.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Intercity

Recent form: WDDW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Yeclano

Recent form: WDLW.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Yeclano 1–2 Intercity (24 May 2025)
  2. Intercity 1–1 Yeclano (05 Oct 2024)
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