Inter Ibiza vs Llosetense Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output favours Llosetense with a double chance of draw or away win, assigning 45% to the draw and 45% to an away victory while leaving Inter Ibiza only a 10% chance, a split that reflects the comparison metrics rather than any single result. Those metrics are lopsided: form reads 0.00 for Inter Ibiza against 100.00 for Llosetense, defence 10.00 versus 90.00, head-to-head 25.00 versus 75.00, and totals 27.50 versus 72.50, while the Poisson values sit at 0.00 for both sides and therefore add no separating signal. Inter Ibiza's team analysis shows a three-match losing run (LLL) with no wins, no draws, no clean sheets, and just one goal scored across three games, including a 5-0 defeat away to Alcúdia and a 0-2 home loss to Mercadal. Llosetense's WLD record is far less emphatic than the 100.00 form figure implies, since it rests on a 2-0 home win over Sineu, a 0-0 home draw with Formentera, and a 1-0 away defeat at Andratx, with both clean sheets coming at home and neither side scoring in two of their three matches. The goals analysis reinforces the low-scoring expectation but also exposes Llosetense's limits: they have scored only twice in three games at 0.70 per match, while Inter Ibiza average 0.30 goals for and a concerning 3.00 against, having conceded in every match and shipped two goals inside the opening fifteen minutes. The last-five records extend the pattern, with Inter Ibiza losing all five listed matches and failing to score in four of them, whereas Llosetense's five include two draws, two defeats, and a single win, so their recent form is better but not dominant. The head-to-head record supports the away side more convincingly, as Llosetense won the most recent meeting 1-0 at Inter Ibiza and also won 2-1 at home in January 2026, plus 3-0 and 4-1 victories in 2022, giving them three wins from four with Inter Ibiza's only success coming in that 2-1 home fixture. Taken together, the evidence points toward Llosetense avoiding defeat rather than winning outright, which is consistent with the draw-or-away advice and the equal 45% probabilities, though the small three-match samples and Llosetense's own modest scoring output mean the 10% home probability may understate Inter Ibiza's chances of grinding out a low-scoring result.

Predicted winner

Llosetense

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Llosetense

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Inter Ibiza 0–1 Llosetense (03 May 2026)
2. Llosetense 2–1 Inter Ibiza (14 Jan 2026)
3. Llosetense 0–3 Inter Ibiza (01 May 2022)
4. Inter Ibiza 1–4 Llosetense (16 Feb 2022)