Inter De Limeira vs Paysandu Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output points to an Inter De Limeira win or draw, with home and draw probabilities both at 45% against just 10% for Paysandu, and the comparison metrics broadly reinforce that lean. Inter De Limeira lead the form, attack, Poisson, head-to-head, goals, and total comparisons, with the head-to-head split of 80 to 20 being the most lopsided, while Paysandu's only comparative edge comes on defence at 54 to 46. That defensive counterpoint matters because Paysandu have conceded 32 goals to Inter's 27, and their 1.50 goals-against average is worse than Inter's 1.20, so the defensive metric may reflect something other than raw solidity. The teams' records are closer than the probabilities suggest: both have played 22 matches, Inter sit on eight wins, nine draws and five losses, while Paysandu have nine wins but only three draws and ten losses, making the visitors more volatile in both directions. Inter's recent form line is draw-heavy and unbeaten in patches, whereas Paysandu's includes three separate losing runs of up to three, which helps explain why the draw carries as much weight as the home win. The last-five records sharpen this: Inter have drawn all five, including a 2-2 at Paysandu and two goalless stalemates, while Paysandu have lost three of five with a single 1-0 win at Ituano, so neither side arrives in convincing scoring form. The goals analysis shows both teams on 29 goals scored, but Paysandu's are heavily home-weighted at 20 versus 9 away, and their 0.90 away scoring average is a real weakness against Inter's balanced 1.30 home and away. Inter's goal timing is spread across the match with 24.14% in both the 46-60 and 76-90 windows, while Paysandu score 37.93% of their goals in the 76-90 window but also concede 25% there, suggesting late-game variance rather than control. The head-to-head record is only two matches, a 2-2 draw and a 1-2 Inter away win, so the 80-20 split rests on a very small sample and should be treated as suggestive rather than decisive. Overall, the evidence supports the double-chance advice mainly through form, attack and the modest head-to-head edge, but the near-equal home and draw probabilities, Paysandu's superior defensive metric, and Inter's run of five straight draws mean a share of the points remains a plausible outcome rather than a comfortable home win.

Predicted winner

Inter De Limeira

Betting advice

Double chance : Inter De Limeira or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Paysandu 2–2 Inter De Limeira (20 Sep 2026)
2. Paysandu 1–2 Inter De Limeira (14 Jun 2026)