İnkılapspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, while the 10% home probability makes an İnkılapspor win the clear outlier.
- Tokat's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings across the comparison metrics support favouring them, though the draw's equal probability keeps the safety net essential.
- İnkılapspor's 2.00 home goals-against average and zero clean sheets suggest they concede regularly, reinforcing the +1.5 goals component.
- Tokat's 2.50 away scoring average and 1.00 away conceding average indicate both teams can score, supporting the over 1.5 goals selection.
- İnkılapspor's recent 1-1, 0-2, 1-3 and 1-4 results show defensive fragility, strengthening the case for Tokat avoiding defeat.
- Tokat's 0-3 and 3-0 away wins show scoring potential, but their 1-3 home loss to Galata warns the double chance is not risk-free.
- Predicted winner
- Tokat Bld Plevnespor
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Tokat Bld Plevnespor and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | İnkılapspor | Tokat Bld Plevnespor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Defence | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Poisson | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 37.8% | 62.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
İnkılapspor
Recent form: WLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Recent form: WDDL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.