Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W Prediction

Match prediction

• Bochum's 45% win probability matches the draw exactly, so the model's double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear away edge.
• Bochum's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson scores support the away side, yet Ingolstadt's head-to-head and goals records favour the hosts, explaining why the draw carries equal weight.
• Bochum's five clean sheets and 0.40 goals-against average underpin the defensive strength behind the away-leaning probabilities.
• Ingolstadt's modest 1.30 goals-per-game average and tendency to stay under 2.5 goals suggests a low-scoring contest that keeps the draw firmly in play.
• Bochum's recent losses to Werder Bremen and Monchengladbach, plus a goalless draw with Koln II, show the favourite is beatable and justify covering the draw.
• Ingolstadt's head-to-head dominance across four meetings is a small historical sample that conflicts with current form, so the model hedges rather than backing the hosts.

Predicted winner

Bochum W

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Bochum W

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Bochum W 0–1 Ingolstadt W (05 Apr 2026)
2. Ingolstadt W 2–0 Bochum W (02 Nov 2025)
3. Ingolstadt W 3–1 Bochum W (20 Apr 2025)
4. Bochum W 1–0 Ingolstadt W (03 Nov 2024)