World · FIFA Asean Cup

Indonesia vs Bangladesh Prediction

Indonesia badgeIndonesia vs Bangladesh badgeBangladesh

Match prediction

  • Indonesia's perfect form, attack, defence and Poisson scores contrast sharply with Bangladesh's zeros, supporting the home-winner half of the advice.
  • Bangladesh have lost both recent matches without scoring, conceding four, which strengthens Indonesia's clean-sheet and low-concession profile.
  • Indonesia's two clean sheets in two games and zero goals conceded make the under-3.5 component of the combo coherent.
  • The 45-45 split between home and draw probabilities tempers the win advice, since the model sees a draw as equally likely.
  • Head-to-head is split evenly with a goalless draw, a small sample that qualifies any expectation of a comfortable Indonesia margin.
  • Indonesia's recent 0-0 draw with Malaysia shows their attack can stall, which supports the cautious under-3.5 rather than a high-scoring win.
Predicted winner
Indonesia
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Indonesia and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorIndonesiaBangladesh
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack100.0%0.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Indonesia

Recent form: WD.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Bangladesh

Recent form: LL.

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Indonesia 0–0 Bangladesh (01 Jun 2022)
  2. Indonesia —–— Bangladesh (27 Jan 2022)
  3. Indonesia —–— Bangladesh (24 Jan 2022)
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