Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe Prediction
· Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Match prediction
- Santa Fe's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings justify favouring the visitors despite playing away.
- The 45-45 split between away win and draw explains why double chance rather than a straight Santa Fe win is advised.
- Independiente Medellin's mere 10% win probability reflects their weaker recent form and inferior defensive record.
- Santa Fe's 15 draws from 34 matches, including three straight, support the draw component of the double chance.
- Head-to-head results lean toward Santa Fe, with recent meetings producing wins and draws rather than Medellin victories.
- Both teams' low-scoring profiles and Medellin's home goals edge slightly qualify the advice without overturning it.
- Predicted winner
- Santa Fe
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Santa Fe
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Independiente Medellin | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Attack | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Defence | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Poisson | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Total | 41.3% | 58.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Independiente Medellin
Recent form: LLDDLWDDLWWLWDLWWWLWWWLWWLDWLD.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Santa Fe
Recent form: DDDWDLLWLDDWWLDDWWWDWDDLDWDDWDWWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Santa Fe 2–1 Independiente Medellin (23 Mar 2026)
- Independiente Medellin 1–1 Santa Fe (21 Oct 2025)
- Santa Fe 0–3 Independiente Medellin (02 Oct 2025)
- Independiente Medellin 1–2 Santa Fe (25 Sep 2025)
- Santa Fe —–— Independiente Medellin (17 Sep 2025)